Increasing homeowners’ insulation activity in Germany : a theoretically and empirically grounded agent-based model analysis / von Dipl.-Wi.Ing. Jonas Friege. Wuppertal, März 2017
Inhalt
- Leere Seite
- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS VIII
- ABSTRACT IX
- 1 INTRODUCTION 1
- 2 MODELING DECISIONS ON ENERGY-EFFICIENT RENOVATIONS 11
- 3 EXPLORING HOMEOWNERS’ INSULATION ACTIVITY 34
- 4 INCREASING HOMEOWNERS’ INSULATION ACTIVITY IN GERMANY 59
- 5 CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION 88
- APPENDICES 101
- BIBLIOGRAPHY 113
- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
- ABSTRACT
- 1 INTRODUCTION
- 1.1 Statement of the problem
- 1.2 Insulation as an economic activity
- 1.3 A complex adaptive systems perspective
- 1.4 Agent-based modeling
- 1.4.1 The decision to use agent-based modeling
- 1.4.2 An introduction to agent-based modeling
- 1.4.3 Agent-based modeling in the social sciences
- 1.5 Objectives and the research question
- 1.6 Outline
- 2 MODELING DECISIONS ON ENERGY-EFFICIENT RENOVATIONS
- 2.1 Motivation
- 2.2 Approaches to citation network analysis
- 2.3 Data collection
- 2.4 Analysis of paper networks and key papers
- 2.4.1 Central research areas
- 2.4.2 Technical options
- 2.4.3 Understanding decisions
- 2.4.4 Incentive Instruments
- 2.4.5 Models and simulation
- 2.5 Conclusions
- 3 EXPLORING HOMEOWNERS’ INSULATION ACTIVITY
- 3.1 Introduction
- 3.2 The theoretical framework
- 3.3 The agent-based model
- 3.3.1 Homeowners’ characteristics
- 3.3.2 Socio-spatial structure
- 3.3.3 Social network
- 3.3.4 Homeowners’ decision-making processes
- 3.4 Experimental design and model results
- 3.4.1 Experimental design
- 3.4.2 Insulation activity over time
- 3.4.3 Insulation activity in different socio-spatial structures
- 3.5 Discussion and conclusion
- 4 INCREASING HOMEOWNERS’ INSULATION ACTIVITY IN GERMANY
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 Empirical study
- 4.2.1 Survey design
- 4.2.2 Findings
- 4.2.3 Recommendations for the simulation model
- 4.3 The agent-based model
- 4.4 Policy design
- 4.4.1 Introducing a change of house ownership insulation obligation
- 4.4.2 Improving homeowners’ disposition to insulation
- Who should be targeted by the policy?
- Should the policy be short-termed or extended for a prolonged period?
- Should the policy’s capability be distributed among many or few?
- What is the potential effect of harnessing homeowners’ social networks?
- How well-endowed should the policy be?
- How is the policy implemented in the simulation model?
- 4.5 Results and discussion
- 4.5.1 Reference scenario
- 4.5.2 Policy evaluation
- Introducing an obligation to insulate when house ownership changes
- Improving homeowners’ attitudes towards insulation
- 4.5.3 Model validity
- 4.6 Conclusions
- 5 CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION
- 5.1 An answer to the research question
- 5.1.1 What are the main factors influencing homeowners’ decision-making processes on insulation?
- 5.1.2 In what way is it possible to model homeowners’ decision-making processes and simulate their insulation activity?
- 5.1.3 What is the potential of policies designed to increase homeowners’ insulation activity in Germany?
- 5.1.4 How can the targeted increase in homeowners’ insulation activity in Germany be achieved?
- 5.2 Methodological challenges encountered
- 5.2.1 Data utility
- How to cope with subjectivity when deciding on which literature to use
- How to deal with the non-representativeness of the empirical study
- 5.2.2 Model validity
- 5.3 Reflections and future research
- APPENDICES
- A - Data preparation (Chapter 2)
- B - Complementary results (Chapter 2)
- C - Supplementary results (Chapter 3)
- D - Supplementary data (Chapter 3)
- E - The empirical study (Chapter 4)
- F - ROC curves (Chapter 4)
- BIBLIOGRAPHY